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Guru Ray's Ratings &
Predictions
Majors
December 3, 2008
| Ratings |
Predictions |
1 Mansfield 1 96.47
2 Aledo 3 81.86
|
Mansfield 1 appears to be unstoppable.
It's time to find out.
Mansfield 1 over Aledo 3 by 15 |
November 21, 2008
All the games fit into the framework of my predictions except that heavily favored Midlothian 4 could not slow Aledo 3 down.
Aledo 3 is the lowest rated team of the remaining four. Let's see if they can do it again.
| Ratings |
Predictions |
1 Mansfield 1 97.52
2 Aledo 1 88.37
3 Aledo 6 86.41
4 Aledo 3 80.24
|
Mansfield 1 over Aledo 1 by 9
Aledo 6 over Aledo 3 by 6 |
November 14, 2008
Predictions
The following predictions and the ratings are made using either
1. Your performance in the last playoff game, or
2. Your final season rating if you haven't played a playoff game.
There were some apparently lazy teams last week. They had better get serious because most of the playoff teams are.
| Ratings |
Predictions |
1 Mansfield 1 99.94
2 Aledo 1 90.00
3 Midlothian 4 89.07
4 Aledo 6 87.00
5 Aledo 4 79.43
6 Aledo 3 78.63
7 Aledo 5 77.83
8 Burleson 5 77.43
|
Aledo 1 over Aledo 5 by 12
Mansfield 1 over Burleson 5 by 23
Aledo 6 over Aledo 4 by 8
Midlothian 4 over Aledo 3 by 10 |
October 31, 2008
1 Mansfield 1 102.61 96.85 1.74
2 Aledo 1 96.25 91.29 -2.91
3 Burleson 5 94.01 92.39 -17.35
4 Mansfield 2 92.88 92.88 0.00
5 Midlothian 4 91.39 89.29 1.34
6 Aledo 4 89.55 84.38 -5.05
7 Aledo 6 87.18 87.44 -2.64
8 Midlothian 3 85.75 80.00 16.05
9 Joshua 2 82.94 77.85 8.82
10 Weatherford 2 82.85 79.45 8.66
11 Burleson 3 81.58 75.34 -5.11
12 Granbury 1 77.65 73.63 4.21
13 Weatherford 1 77.43 79.10 2.01
14 Alvarado 2 76.08 69.57 -10.27
15 Aledo 5 74.44 74.26 10.88
16 Brock 1 74.27 77.22 5.97
17 Aledo 3 74.20 74.72 -10.74
18 Whitney 72.98 71.30 -6.30
19 Granbury 2 70.23 72.57 -4.99
20 Rio Vista 69.90 68.12 15.35
21 Midlothian 2 68.26 72.32 6.20
22 Cleburne 3 66.90 68.37 -0.26
23 Burleson 2 65.74 69.82 -7.95
24 Weatherford 3 65.56 68.43 4.72
25 Kennedale 1 64.13 71.47 -17.70
26 Aledo 2 61.89 58.65 1.41
27 Brock 2 61.22 65.43 3.69
28 Joshua 3 56.44 55.64 -6.51
29 Midlothian 1 53.58 54.20 6.66
30 Granbury 4 53.28 51.76 1.76
31 Burleson 1 53.23 51.86 -3.42
32 Joshua 1 53.20 53.47 -6.11
33 Cleburne 1 53.07 56.22 -2.45
34 Cleburne 2 52.64 56.20 -1.28
35 Burleson 4 50.37 51.02 9.72
36 Alvarado 1 48.36 45.79 6.32
37 Granbury 3 41.60 51.95 2.00
38 Kennedale 2 36.73 42.10 -6.24
|
October 24, 2008
1 Mansfield 1 98.63 93.75 17.12
2 Aledo 1 98.00 92.57 7.61
3 Burleson 5 95.31 92.50 2.09
4 Mansfield 2 92.88 92.88 0.00
5 Midlothian 4 91.51 89.07 6.14
6 Aledo 4 90.82 83.79 -13.46
7 Aledo 6 90.07 87.88 -14.36
8 Weatherford 2 82.39 78.69 -5.29
9 Midlothian 3 81.31 80.00 18.86
10 Joshua 2 80.75 77.82 6.53
11 Burleson 3 80.63 73.44 6.58
12 Weatherford 1 77.45 79.20 5.57
13 Alvarado 2 76.69 70.25 9.72
14 Brock 1 75.80 78.15 -10.14
15 Granbury 1 75.14 73.50 2.71
16 Whitney 75.05 72.60 0.10
17 Aledo 3 74.70 75.43 4.18
18 Aledo 5 73.17 72.50 -0.55
19 Granbury 2 70.95 73.63 -0.63
20 Midlothian 2 70.26 72.50 -6.06
21 Kennedale 1 70.01 71.94 -13.34
22 Burleson 2 68.26 71.63 -11.27
23 Weatherford 3 66.60 68.35 -19.57
24 Cleburne 3 66.46 68.50 1.74
25 Rio Vista 65.61 66.24 4.99
26 Brock 2 62.48 64.88 -19.67
27 Aledo 2 60.09 57.94 14.35
28 Joshua 3 53.98 56.71 8.74
29 Joshua 1 53.69 54.44 -4.79
30 Cleburne 2 53.38 56.51 -9.17
31 Granbury 4 52.80 53.02 4.52
32 Cleburne 1 51.98 56.69 -5.81
33 Burleson 1 51.85 53.26 8.32
34 Midlothian 1 51.40 54.10 12.71
35 Burleson 4 47.99 49.79 2.91
36 Alvarado 1 46.76 45.75 4.46
37 Granbury 3 45.19 52.46 1.02
38 Kennedale 2 40.24 42.69 -16.62
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October 17, 2008
1 Mansfield 1 96.35 92.63 12.19
2 Burleson 5 95.37 93.50 3.95
3 Aledo 1 94.43 91.29 8.45
4 Aledo 6 91.93 88.88 3.24
5 Mansfield 2 91.54 92.69 5.38
6 Midlothian 4 89.63 89.07 -0.43
7 Aledo 4 88.43 81.49 10.72
8 Weatherford 2 80.34 77.35 13.16
9 Midlothian 3 78.33 79.88 6.49
10 Brock 1 78.32 79.70 -4.23
11 Burleson 3 77.85 71.16 17.83
12 Weatherford 1 77.73 79.10 -3.18
13 Joshua 2 77.65 76.16 10.88
14 Aledo 3 75.84 76.25 -7.85
15 Granbury 1 74.66 73.35 -0.55
16 Alvarado 2 74.61 69.57 12.35
17 Granbury 2 74.48 73.82 -17.21
18 Whitney 73.28 71.30 3.10
19 Burleson 2 72.76 72.69 -15.34
20 Kennedale 1 71.66 74.47 -5.06
21 Rio Vista 70.11 67.25 -12.37
22 Midlothian 2 69.86 69.22 -11.62
23 Aledo 5 69.66 71.63 7.32
24 Weatherford 3 69.31 68.43 -5.38
25 Cleburne 3 68.28 72.00 -12.90
26 Brock 2 64.95 65.43 -10.64
27 Aledo 2 58.40 56.47 4.04
28 Cleburne 2 55.09 57.35 -6.09
29 Joshua 1 54.90 54.47 -2.40
30 Cleburne 1 54.90 56.98 1.51
31 Joshua 3 54.24 58.86 2.21
32 Granbury 4 53.42 53.00 5.47
33 Midlothian 1 51.86 53.55 -6.03
34 Burleson 1 49.57 51.32 11.19
35 Burleson 4 48.61 50.43 -3.65
36 Granbury 3 46.08 53.72 -14.21
37 Alvarado 1 43.65 45.51 7.51
38 Kennedale 2 42.14 46.35 -7.62
|
October 9, 2008
Look at the gap between Aledo 4 and Weatherford 2. I
can't explain it other than to say that the top seven teams are
playing exceptionally well right now. That doesn't mean other teams
can't join them. For example, Whitney and Alvarado 2 seem to be headed
upward.
1 Burleson 5 95.00 92.50 7.82
2 Mansfield 1 93.15 91.50 8.44
3 Aledo 1 93.09 90.00 13.07
4 Aledo 6 91.53 87.88 5.38
5 Mansfield 2 91.09 92.50 0.38
6 Midlothian 4 89.82 89.07 4.07
7 Aledo 4 89.58 78.00 19.25
8 Weatherford 2 78.73 76.00 9.19
9 Brock 1 78.38 81.25 -10.93
10 Weatherford 1 77.23 79.00 -9.87
11 Aledo 3 77.07 78.50 1.47
12 Granbury 2 76.71 74.00 -5.37
13 Joshua 2 75.90 74.50 3.32
14 Midlothian 3 75.69 79.75 -5.49
15 Burleson 2 75.29 73.75 -4.37
16 Granbury 1 75.15 73.50 5.26
17 Burleson 3 74.89 68.88 16.35
18 Kennedale 1 73.56 77.00 -5.06
19 Whitney 73.50 70.00 13.50
20 Midlothian 2 72.86 72.50 -11.06
21 Alvarado 2 71.94 68.88 10.19
22 Weatherford 3 71.37 68.50 8.60
23 Cleburne 3 70.17 75.50 -11.50
24 Aledo 5 69.78 72.50 -1.74
25 Rio Vista 69.52 64.50 -1.43
26 Brock 2 68.51 65.97 -1.78
27 Cleburne 2 56.86 58.19 -6.74
28 Aledo 2 56.61 55.00 5.44
29 Joshua 1 55.84 54.50 6.07
30 Cleburne 1 54.11 56.69 -1.31
31 Joshua 3 53.42 61.00 -2.18
32 Midlothian 1 51.11 53.00 -7.87
33 Granbury 4 50.90 50.50 -1.81
34 Burleson 4 48.61 52.25 -25.31
35 Burleson 1 47.65 48.75 5.13
36 Granbury 3 47.50 56.00 -22.43
37 Kennedale 2 44.90 50.00 -7.31
38 Alvarado 1 43.11 45.75 0.82
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October 2, 2008
I've added two new columns to help you see how your
team is doing. The first column after your team name is its current
strength rating. The second number is how your team has done over the
season. This is comparable to a team's standings. Of course, it is not
official. Wins and losses are the official factor for which teams go
to the playoffs. The last number tells you how much your team's game
quality has gone up or down over the past three weeks. If it is up,
play hard and make it go up more. If it is down, you need to get back
into your "zone."
I have decided this is a better way to go than to predict winners.
When a not-so-good team begins to play better, I like to give it a
little push. By knowing when it is starting to improve, a team can
concentrate on its direction instead of worrying about how high a
rating the next opponent has. I remember a team a few years ago that
suddenly discovered they were good and made a run at the championship.
If I remember correctly, they were in the championship game.
Here's how I view it from both sides. If my team is the favorite by,
say, 21 points, I want to win by more. If my team is a 21-point
underdog, I want to deprive the better team of winning by 21. By
seeing the game this way, you can win even if you have less points.
So, in my opinion, worry more about that last column than the first
one. The reason you're here is to learn discipline and how to play the
game. Winning isn't everything. Improvement is. Football is a game.
Let's keep it fun.
1 Burleson 5 92.50 91.35 6.19
2 Mansfield 2 92.50 90.00 5.88
3 Mansfield 1 91.50 88.63 0.75
4 Aledo 1 90.00 88.50 9.69
5 Aledo 6 89.88 88.44 9.82
6 Midlothian 4 89.50 87.25 14.88
7 Brock 1 82.38 81.82 8.44
8 Weatherford 1 82.38 80.69 -3.31
9 Midlothian 3 79.75 79.88 -7.18
10 Granbury 2 79.00 76.50 -2.50
11 Aledo 3 78.50 76.25 -2.75
12 Aledo 4 78.00 76.13 33.25
13 Kennedale 1 77.00 77.38 -12.25
14 Midlothian 2 77.00 74.75 16.13
15 Burleson 2 76.00 74.88 5.75
16 Cleburne 3 75.50 75.75 -9.50
17 Joshua 2 74.50 73.25 5.88
18 Granbury 1 73.50 73.22 6.94
19 Aledo 5 72.50 74.54 -6.43
20 Weatherford 2 72.00 74.00 9.50
21 Whitney 69.50 69.75 6.50
22 Alvarado 2 68.88 67.69 15.88
23 Burleson 3 68.88 67.44 7.44
24 Weatherford 3 68.50 71.50 2.75
25 Brock 2 67.75 66.32 21.69
26 Rio Vista 64.50 67.25 -8.75
27 Cleburne 2 58.19 60.72 -7.31
28 Granbury 3 56.00 56.75 -8.56
29 Cleburne 1 55.75 56.88 -16.12
30 Midlothian 1 55.50 54.25 -7.43
31 Joshua 3 54.50 57.75 -16.31
32 Joshua 1 54.44 54.47 -2.56
33 Aledo 2 52.50 53.75 -2.87
34 Burleson 4 52.25 62.13 -29.12
35 Granbury 4 50.50 53.00 -15.50
36 Kennedale 2 50.00 50.25 -13.50
37 Alvarado 1 45.00 45.38 -4.25
38 Burleson 1 44.94 46.85 -11.06
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|
September 25, 2008
1 Burleson 5 90.33
2 Mansfield 1 90.08
3 Mansfield 2 89.00
4 Aledo 6 86.46
5 Aledo 1 85.50
6 Midlothian 4 83.50
7 Weatherford 1 81.63
8 Midlothian 3 79.92
9 Kennedale 1 79.33
9 Granbury 2 79.33
11 Brock 1 79.21
12 Aledo 3 77.50
13 Cleburne 3 77.17
14 Burleson 2 74.83
15 Rio Vista 72.92
16 Joshua 2 72.83
17 Aledo 5 72.50
18 Weatherford 2 72.50
19 Aledo 4 72.08
20 Midlothian 2 71.17
21 Granbury 1 71.08
22 Weatherford 3 67.58
23 Burleson 3 66.96
24 Whitney 66.83
25 Burleson 4 66.75
26 Alvarado 2 63.25
27 Brock 2 61.88
28 Cleburne 2 61.54
29 Cleburne 1 59.92
30 Joshua 3 59.58
31 Granbury 3 57.83
32 Granbury 4 56.67
33 Midlothian 1 56.21
34 Aledo 2 55.75
35 Joshua 1 54.67
36 Kennedale 2 51.83
37 Burleson 1 49.63
38 Alvarado 1 44.25
|
Aledo 5 over Midlothian
1 by 19.5
Aledo 6 over Midlothian 3 by 9.5
Midlothian 4 over Alvarado 2 by 17
Rio Vista over Aledo 4 by 1
Brock 2 over Joshua 3 by 5.5
Burleson 5 over Cleburne 2 by 26
Brock 1 over Joshua 1 by 24.5
Joshua 2 over Cleburne 1 by 10
Granbury 2 over Weatherford 2 by 10
Burleson 3 over Granbury 3 by 6
Whitney over Granbury 4 by 7
Granbury 1 over Burleson 1 by 24.5
Kennedale 1 over Burleson 2 by 7.5
Cleburne 3 over Kennedale 2 by 22.5
Mansfield 1 over Alvarado 1 by 49
Mansfield 2 over Burleson 4 by 25
Midlothian 2 over Aledo 2 by 18.5
Weatherford 1 over Aledo 1 by 1
Aledo 3 over Weatherford 3 by 7
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September 11, 2008
1 Mansfield 2 87.00
2 Mansfield 1 85.00
3 Burleson 5 84.00
4 Aledo 6 82.50
5 Midlothian 3 80.00
6 Aledo 1 79.50
7 Weatherford 1 79.00
8 Kennedale 1 77.00
9 Cleburne 3 76.00
9 Midlothian 4 76.00
11 Aledo 3 74.00
11 Brock 1 74.00
11 Granbury 2 74.00
14 Aledo 5 72.50
15 Burleson 4 72.00
15 Joshua 2 72.00
17 Weatherford 2 70.00
17 Weatherford 3 70.00
17 Rio Vista 70.00
17 Whitney 70.00
17 Burleson 2 70.00
17 Granbury 1 70.00
17 Aledo 4 70.00
17 Midlothian 2 70.00
25 Brock 2 67.75
26 Alvarado 2 66.50
27 Burleson 3 66.00
27 Cleburne 1 66.00
29 Cleburne 2 65.50
30 Granbury 4 64.00
30 Kennedale 2 64.00
32 Joshua 3 63.25
33 Granbury 3 60.00
34 Joshua 1 57.00
35 Burleson 1 56.00
36 Midlothian 1 55.50
37 Aledo 2 55.00
38 Alvarado 1 50.00
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September 4, 2008
| These ratings are the result of only one game. Don't
put much faith into them because the bottom team could still be
playing in the championship. We have to watch as other games are tied
together and then we will see the strong teams rise to the top. Check
out my mail bag for information about how I determine the ratings this
season. |
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